x
Talo weyn ee la sameeyay Siyasiinta Bulshada waxaa lagu qaaday in October China ka xiriira 7.939 million kilogram bulsho, 124,000 kilogram ku jirin bulsho oo soo jecla ah kuwa ugu dhexeeya, loo eego -1.5%; January to October, talo dheer ee ku jirto 74.732 million kilogram xiriirka bulshada ah, carruur carruur ee saacadaha ee sannadooda ah ee 34.8%.
Saniga ee, eksportaadka saxalaha China ka mid ah inta badan waxaa iska soo gudbinayaa xarunta aqoonsi. Dhinaca Januury oo ku jiray September, China waxaa eksportiyay 66.818 milliyoona kili gram saxal, si toos ah 31.8% year-on-year. Xisaabta inta badan supply iyo demand ee dhalinyarada, sanadooda la weli, productionka saxalaha China waxaa si toos ah 1.7% year-on-year, oo saxalaha apparent consumption waxaa jiray dowmarka 1.5%. Waxbarashada saxalaha dhalinyarada, haddii ugu yaraan supply oo aan ugu yaraan demand, eksportaadka saxalaha inta badan waxaa lagu guurayaa balantiga supply iyo demand ee dhalinyarada ee dhalinyarada. Xusuusooyinka eksporta, dhinaca hot rolled coil iyo medium plate waxaa ka caafimaado oo kala duwan, eksportaadka coated plate waxaa ka mid ah carruurta ah, iyo eksportaadka producta oo lacag-talo ah waxaa si toos ah.
Fiiqaanka ah ee shaqooyinka Carshiga Ciina iyo Dhaqanka Sidaas oo ku jiray 2023, si toos ah, shaqooyinka carshiga ciinaha iyo dhaqanka sidaas, wakhtigii badbaadiyaha ayaa ugu yaraa Tong Minghua, waxyaabka badbaadiyada awgeed, sidoo kale oo dhan Ciina, qof kasta oo dhan ee dunida hore ee produksiya cusub ee saacadda ah ee soo gudbinayo 2.8% marka aan u guuleysato sanadood. Markii supply carruurta ah ee hore oo ka soo jeeda, eksportaadka saacadaha Ciina ayaa u adeegsaday hadhalka carruurta ah. Sanadkii dheer, eksportiinta saacadaha ayaa ka mid ah iyaga waxbarashada dhammaan, superimposed marka aan ugu yaraysid deg dega ah ee lacagta, eksportiinta saacadaha ayuu sameeyey labada xirfadda oo dhan oo ku yaal inay ugu yimid eksportiinta saacadaha.
Marka ahaa eksportiinta kale, xiriirarka shaqooyinka ayaa isku yimaado inuu samayn doono inaan u baahan yihiin shurucadda, eksportiinta saacadaha Ciina ee kawliga badan ayaa ka soo jeedo, laakiin trendiga year-on-year ayaa ugu yarayd inuu ka soo galin.
Xisbiga Ciina Steel Association waxaa isku soo dirayaa in xaaladaha iyo caankaaladda dunida waa mid ka mid ah iyo labo, oo afka ugu yaraan ee dhammaadinta ay ku sameeyeen significantly. Haddii la xiriiraaray report ee International Monetary Fund ku saabsan October, wuxuu leeyahay in carruurta carruurtida ah 2023 waxay kaga jeedaa marka carruurta carruurtida ah 2022 (3.5%) si toosan 3.0%. Marka hore, dhicitaanka demandiga casriga ah ee shaqsiyada Ciina waa ka qabtay, waxba aan ugu yaraan in exportska steel ka dib looga tagi doonaa; marka caddeena, waxay ku jirin energy prices sharci ah, inoo lacagta raw materials oo ku yaal ah, lacagga dhacdo ee shaqsiyada ah.
Tong Minghua waxa uu yidhi maxkamada dhexeeya ah ee bedka sida loo sameyn doono ka mid ah ayaa ku jira caafimaadka badan oo ah mar kale, bedka sida loo sameyn doono ka mid ah ayaa si toos ah ahayd, bedka carruurta ah ee ka mid ah ayaa ku jiray dadkii carruurtida ah oo ugu dambeeyay, carruurteed waa la isku jiro in aan ku soo galin bedka carruurta ah ee exportska ah, oo takhtarka exportska ah ayaa si toos ah ahayd. Maxkamadda bedka ah ee uga fahmaynta ah, waxaa u fahmayn doonaan in maxkamadda bedka ah ee carruurta ah ee dhammaantooda ayaa ku jiray orderka exportska ah ee ka soo cuneeyo.
Markii sameeye, carruurteed ayaa ku jiray qaarinta bedka ah. Dataarka Lange Steel Research Center waxaa u sheegay in September, productionka bedka carruurta ah ee dhexeeya ah ee ka mid ah carruurka ah ee dunida (si aanu China) ayaa ah 67.2 milliyoonta tonka, si toos ah ahayd 1 milliyoontan tonka kara amaanka, oo si toos ah ahayd 3.9% markaas oo dhalinyaraha gobolka ah.
"Waxaa laga heli karaa ka dib markii aaddeed ma ugu yar ee dhammaadka caafimaadka carruurta ah oo mid ka ah, xuquuqda ku jirin wakhtiga adeeggaanka ah, iyo carruurta ah waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah, mararka carruurta ah waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah, markaasaa index ee dhammaadka carruurta ah ee siinaha casriga ah ee Siin waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah, sidoo kale waxay ku daran yihiin si gooniyeeya ah carruurta ah ee siin ee qofka badbaadada ah ee dhammaadka carruurta ah ee ku jira dhibaatooyinka ah." Waxaa lagu yaqaanayaa Wang Guoqing, caddeeye cusub ee Markaas research Center.
Wang Guoqing waxaa isku dayaysa in October, dhammaadka carruurta ah ee Siin waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah, year-on-year haddii ahaan guurka ah waxaa la sameeyay trend ee ku jirin. Haddii ahaan carruurta ah, fursadka dhammaadka carruurta ah ee Siin waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah; xuquuqda ku jirin carruurta ah dhammaadka carruurta ah ee ku jira year-on-year growth trend iyo manufacturing index ee dhammaadka ah ee ku jira duniya waxaa lagu sameeyay contraction range fell back again, xuquuqda ku jirin external demand pressure waxaa lagu sameeyay si toos ah, late steel exports waxaa lagu sameeyay decline trend. Laakiin, haddii ahaan November, December carruurta ah dhammaadka carruurta ah ee Siin waxaa lagu sameeyay base ee ku jirin low, waxay noqon doonaan in laba boodkii end of the year waxaa lagu sameeyay year-on-year growth trend.
